2018: “Sources of Uncertainty in Long-Term Climate Projections” led by Kyle Armour (UW Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences) and Aaron Donohoe (UW Polar Science Center/Applied Physics Laboratory).
September 12-14, 2018 at Friday Harbor Labs, Washington.
The workshop will bring together a diverse group of scientists to discuss the primary sources of uncertainty in climate change and its impacts over the coming century.
- Can we quantify uncertainty in global and regional climate change projections? (e.g., in the spatial structure of warming and hydrologic cycle changes)
- What are the primary sources of climate change uncertainty? (e.g., from emissions, radiative feedbacks, ocean circulation, carbon cycle feedbacks, etc.)
- What are the major uncertainties in climate change impacts?
- What are our prospects for better quantifying and/or narrowing climate change uncertainties?
- How should decisions be made and climate change be communicated in light of recalcitrant uncertainties?
Confirmed Speakers (updated 6/15/2018)
Wed afternoon: Poster Session/Welcome Reception
Wed evening: Decision making under uncertainty, communicating uncertainty, economics (Ann Bostrom, Susan Joslyn, Gernot Wagner)
Thurs morning: Global temperature uncertainty with a focus on emissions, feedbacks, carbon cycle, and oceans (Adrian Raftery, Cristi Proistosescu, Mark Zelinka, Nikki Lovenduski)
Thur evening: Hydrologic cycle uncertainty (Gerard Roe, Brian Soden, Abby Swann)
Friday morning: Uncertainty in climate change impacts, Arctic, other topics (Paul Kushner, David Battisti, Joe Casola), plus a panel discussion
Graduate students – to get primed for the Summer Institute it is strongly encouraged that you participate in as many of the three paper discussions as you can. Plan to join Kyle Armour and/or Aaron Donohoe on Wednesday,
- August 22
- August 29
- September 5
from 2:00 PM to 3:30 PM in Ocean Sciences Building Room 425.
We will likely be full or close to full by the end of the summer, so as soon as you are sure you will attend, please register. When you register, be prepared to spend a few minutes answering questions about housing, food, carpooling, and whether you will contribute a poster or speed talk.
Last Updated: 6 June 2018
2017: “Climate Change and Population Health” led by LuAnne Thompson (UW Oceanography/PCC Director) and Cecilia Bitz (UW Atmospheric Sciences/PCC Director-Elect).
The annual University of Washington Program on Climate Change Summer Institute took place September 13-15, 2017, in Friday Harbor, WA. The topic was “Population Health and Climate Change” and brought together climate scientists with social and health sciences to talk about the observed and projected impacts of climate change to population health. The challenges that climate change brings to food and water security, human health, and population disruption were discussed.
Two paper discussions were scheduled, and were “strongly recommended” for participating students and postdocs.
Thursday August 31, 1:30-3 in OCN 425, Led by LuAnne Thompson, PCC Director and Oceanography faculty
Carleton, T.A. and Hsiang S.M (2016) Social and economic impacts of climate, Science Sep 9; 353
Tuesday September 5, 1:30-3 in OCN 425, Led by Cecilia Bitz, PCC Director-Elect and Atmospheric Sciences faculty. Two readings are listed below. If the material is new to you, spend more time on the first paper. If you are already familiar with this topic, skim the IPCC document quickly and spend more time on the second paper. Both will be discussed.
IPCC, 2012: Summary for Policymakers. In: Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation [Field, C.B., V. Barros, T.F. Stocker, D. Qin, D.J. Dokken, K.L. Ebi, M.D. Mastrandrea, K.J. Mach, G.-K. Plattner, S.K. Allen, M. Tignor, and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, and New York, NY, USA, pp. 1-19.
Meehl, G.A., C. Tebaldi, and D. Adams-Smith, US daily temperature records past, present, and future, Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., vol. 113, pp. 13977-13982, doi:10.1073/pnas.1606117113. http://www.pnas.org/content/113/49/13977.full.pdf
Questions? Contact Miriam at firstname.lastname@example.org
(updated July 27, 2017)
2016: “The Climate of Antarctica and the Southern Ocean” led by Cecilia Bitz, UW Atmospheric Sciences.
- Available Presentations (all as pdf’s <10MB):
- Public Lecture
- Andrew Thompson, Caltech, “Taking the Circumpolar out of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current: the ACC and the overturning circulation” Part 1, Part 2, Part 3, Part 4 and Part 5
- David Thompson, Colorado State University “Large scale atmospheric variability in the latitudes of the Southern Hemisphere: What we know and what we don’t” Part 1 and Part 2
- Dargan Frierson, University of Washington “A chill felt ’round the world? The role of Antarctica in the global climate system” Part 1, Part 2 and Part 3
- Amelia Shevenell, University of South Florida “Antarctica reveals its climate secrets” Part 1 and Part 2.
- Louis Sime, British Antarctic Survey “The Last Interglacial (LIG) in Antarctic Ice Cores”
- Michelle Koutnik, University of Washington “Accumulation-rate changes through the Holocene from ice-core records and radar data” Part 1 and Part 2.
2015: “Terrestrial Ecosystems, Land Surface, and Climate Change” led by Abby Swann, UW Atmospheric Sciences, Biology.
2014: “Climate Variability and Uncertainty” led by Dargan Frierson, UW Atmospheric Sciences.
2013: “Response of Marine Ecosystems to Climate Forcing: Causes and Consequences” led by Julie Keister, UW Oceanography.
2012: “Atmosphere-Ocean-Ice Shelf Interactions.” led by Eric Steig (ESS) and Mark Warner (Oceanography).
2011: “The Water Cycle in a Changing Climate” led by Chris Bretheron (ATM S), Eric Steig (ESS), Jessica Lundquist (Civil/Environmental Engineering), & Dargan Frierson (ATM S).
2010: “Climate Feedbacks.” led by Dargan Frierson, UW Atmospheric Sciences.
2009: “Pacific Northwest Climate: Past, Present and Future.” led by Nate Mantua (SAFS).
2008: “Does Ocean Circulation Matter for Climate Change?” led by LuAnne Thompson, Julian Sachs and David Battisti.
2007:”Couplings Between Changes in the Climate System and Biogeochemistry” led by Jim Murray, Oceanography.
2006: “Anthropogenic CO2 Emissions: Projections, Mitigating Technologies and Policies” led by Chris Bretherton (UW Atmospheric Sciences).
2005: “El Nino: Past, Present and Future” led by Jim Murray (Oceanography) and Curtis Deutsch (Oceanography).
2004: “The Year of the Arctic” led by Peter Rhines (UW Oceanography), Cecilia Bitz (APL), Jim Murray (UW Oceanography), & Jamie Morison (APL).
2003: “Rapid Climate Change and Land-Surface Climate Interactions” led by Jim Murray (UW Oceanography).
2002: “Development of PCC Science Themes” led by Jim Murray (UW Oceanography).